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The
Composite Indicator of Stock Market Conditions was created by Alston
Boyd as a way to predict and avoid major bear markets. |
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The
relationship of S&P 500 dividends and earnings over 30 years,
including the Payout Ratio. |
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The
S&P 500 Price/Earnings and Price/Dividend ratios over 30 years. |
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A
comparison of nominal and real (inflation adjusted) S&P 500
dividends and earnings yields over 30 years. |
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A
valuation indicator for the S&P500 relates S&P500 dividend
& earnings yields to the 91-day T-bill rate and the yield on
90-day commercial paper. |
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The
Trailing Earnings Yield of the S&P 500 divided by the Yield on the
10-year T-note. |
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%Bulls and %Bears from
Investors
Intelligence and from AAII, with ratios of
Bulls/Bears. |
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Charts
of the S&P 500 with a stochastic of a weekly Advance-Decline
Line (A-D line value = previous week's value + number of advancing issues
- number of declining issues on the NYSE) and an index of weekly new
highs and new lows on the NYSE. The index = number new highs /
(number new
highs + number new lows). |
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The
Wright-Scace Double-MACD timing model using the NYSE and NASDAQ
Composite Indices and 39-week moving averages. Followed by the
Austin AAII Investment Timing SIG. |
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The
26-week change in the 30-year T-bond yield as a stock market timing
method. Followed by the Austin AAII Investment Timing SIG. |